Crisis? What crisis? (ii)

[caddyman]

Whatever the merits of the poll I mentioned on 19 May, which was roundly pooh-poohed by some of those on my friends' list largely because it was a street poll conducted by Sky, it appears that although it was probably overstated by suggesting that labour would only pick up 12% of the vote is there was a General Election that day, it does seem that while all the main parties are suffering, current voter dissatisfaction is pointed more at Labour than anyone else.

The current projection by Ipsos Mori has the following breakdown: CON 40%(-1) LAB 18%(-10) LIB DEM 18%(-4)

Dissatisfaction with the Government is now at the level it was during the Black Wednesday crisis. This is notable as the Government has now been in power a similar length of time as John Major's government was at the time.

A quarter (26%) are satisfied with the way Gordon Brown is doing his job as Prime Minister and seven in ten (69%) are dissatisfied. This is a drop from last month's ratings, which showed 32% satisfied and 60% dissatisfied.

David Cameron's ratings have also declined since last month. While over half (51%, compared to 52% last month) remain satisfied with the way he is doing his job as leader of the Conservative Party, more than a third (35%) are now dissatisfied, up from 29% last month.

Nick Clegg is the only one of the three leaders to see improved satisfaction ratings this month. Nearing half (45%) are satisfied with the way he is doing his job as leader of the Liberal Democrats, and 23% are dissatisfied. This represents a real improvement for the Liberal Democrat leader, as last month 39% were satisfied and 25% dissatisfied with Clegg.

Thursday's Euro-elections will be quite interesting, especially if there are more revelations before the polls open. I may look into taking Friday off so I can sit up all night watching the results come in; I love election results programmes, particularly the politicos explaining why am defeat is really a victory!

Comments

[oldnick.livejournal.com]

I wouldn't bother staying up on Thursday night for the Euro election results. As some parts of Europe hold their elections over the weekend, the results will not be issued until all polls have been closed.

[caddyman.livejournal.com]

True, but the local election results will be known and published overnight.

[oldnick.livejournal.com]

"Thursday's Euro-elections will be quite interesting, especially if there are more revelations before the polls open. I may look into taking Friday off so I can sit up all night watching the results come in; "

Local elections? What local elections.

IIRC 2/3 of the country doesn't have any this time around. Surrey appears to be the only place inside the M25 that does.

[caddyman.livejournal.com]

If you live in one of these fine areas, someone will be hoping for your votes on Thursday:

Bedford, Bristol, Buckinghamshire, Cambridgeshire, Central Bedfordshire, Cornwall, Cumbria, Derbyshire, Devon, Dorset, East Sussex, Essex, Gloucestershire, Hampshire, Hertfordshire, Isle of Wight, Kent, Lancashire, Leicestershire, Lincolnshire, Norfolk, North Yorkshire, Northamptonshire, Nottinghamshire,
Oxfordshire, Shropshire, Somerset, Staffordshire, Suffolk, Surrey, Warwickshire, West Sussex, Wiltshire, Worcestershire.

[oldnick.livejournal.com]

Alas, I don't, and neither, I fear do you.

I shall still vote, eve though it has a minuscule effect in the uber-government that writes our laws.

[caddyman.livejournal.com]

True again, but there will be an election programme for me to enjoy. As to the Euro Elections, well, may as well vote.